Conformal prediction, a powerful framework for constructing prediction intervals for response variables using any regression function estimators, often faces the challenge of producing overly broad intervals with limited target data. In this paper, we study the transfer learning problem in conformal prediction, aiming to improve the precision of the prediction interval of the target data with insufficient data by leveraging related auxiliary source datasets. Allowing for the potential non-exchangeability between source and target datasets, we propose two transfer conformal prediction algorithms designed for scenarios where knowledge of informative source data is either present or absent. Our approach uses conditional Kullback-Leibler divergence to effectively identify relevant source datasets for transfer. A comprehensive theoretical analysis of the non-asymptotic properties of the proposed algorithms is provided, including lower and upper bounds, and the prediction interval width. These results illustrate the potential to achieve more efficient, narrower intervals without compromising coverage accuracy. Empirical results from extensive simulations and real-world data confirm the efficacy of our methods, demonstrating significant improvements in prediction interval precision by leveraging source data, achieving narrower intervals while maintaining desired coverage levels.

In probabilistic Latent Semantic Indexing (pLSI), word frequencies across document corpora are modeled through a low-rank factorization of the expected document-term matrix into topic-word and topic-document components. In this paper, we study the estimation of the topic-word matrix under a sparsity structure motivated by Zipf's law: word frequencies within each topic exhibit a rapid empirical decay, with most probability mass concentrated on a small subset of words. Motivated by this observation, we introduce a spectral estimator that adaptively thresholds rare words prior to factorization. We show that the resulting estimator achieves an $\ell_1$-error rate whose dependence on the vocabulary size $p$ is only logarithmic. Our error bounds hold across parameter regimes, including high-dimensional settings with extremely large vocabularies, a practically important scenario that has received limited theoretical attention. Unlike many existing methods, our approach does not require the separability (or anchor-word) assumption. Synthetic and real-data experiments demonstrate that the proposed procedure is computationally efficient, statistically reliable, and effective across domains with widely varying dimensions, sparsity levels, and document lengths.

There has been increasing research attention on community detection in directed and bipartite networks. However, these studies often fail to consider the popularity of nodes in different communities, which is a common phenomenon in real-world networks. To address this issue, we propose a new probabilistic framework called the Two-Way Node Popularity Model (TNPM). The TNPM also accommodates edges from different distributions within a general sub-Gaussian family. We introduce the Delete-One-Method (DOM) for model fitting and community structure identification, and provide a comprehensive theoretical analysis with novel technical skills dealing with sub-Gaussian generalization. Additionally, we propose the Two-Stage Divided Cosine Algorithm (TSDC) to handle large-scale networks more efficiently. Our proposed methods offer multi-folded advantages in terms of estimation accuracy and computational efficiency, as demonstrated through extensive numerical studies. We apply our methods to two real-world applications, uncovering interesting findings.